case study

Monitoring geopolitical risks and energy market dynamics amid the Russia-Ukraine War

CLIENT TYPE
Multinational energy corporation

INDUSTRY
Energy & Natural Resources

LOCATION
Europe & Eurasia

PROJECT DURATION
Ongoing, Multi-Year

Challenge

A multinational energy corporation needed to understand the evolving war in Ukraine and the broader implications of U.S.-Russia relations for its business operations. The company faced uncertainty about how potential sanctions and countermeasures could impact its supply chain, energy market dynamics, and regulatory environment. The challenge was to provide timely and accurate insights that would allow the company to anticipate risks, navigate geopolitical developments, and incorporate risk mitigation strategies into its operational and corporate planning.

Approach
  • Provided regular updates and in-depth analysis of the war in Ukraine, monitoring key diplomatic developments, Western military and financial assistance to Ukraine, and the evolving sanctions landscape, including U.S./EU sanctions on Russia and third countries, as well as Russia’s countermeasures.
  • Delivered tailored insights on the geopolitical situation, focusing specifically on how these developments were likely to impact the energy market and the company’s business operations.
  • Held regular briefings with the client to answer specific questions and share actionable insights on the outlook of the war, Western responses, and Russian counteractions, ensuring the advice was relevant to the client’s needs.
  • Assessed the likelihood and potential impacts of future sanctions or regulatory measures, advising the company on necessary adjustments to its strategies and operations.
Impact

Our proactive monitoring and strategic advice have enabled the company to successfully navigate the complexities of the energy market during the war. By understanding the broader geopolitical context and anticipating the potential impact of sanctions, the company was able to assess risks effectively and incorporate risk mitigation strategies into its corporate planning. This enabled the company to adapt its operations to the evolving regulatory and market environment, ensuring that it remained agile and prepared for any changes that might arise. The company’s leadership gained greater confidence in managing the volatility of the energy market, and was better equipped to make informed decisions, thus protecting its long-term business interests.